Portfolio Returns vs KSE-100 Index 13th June 2014

week ending	pf %gain/loss	% kse100
21-Mar
28-Mar	-1.2%	1.3%
04-Apr	3.7%	4.8%
11-Apr	5.9%	3.0%
18-Apr	-1.5%	-0.6%
25-Apr	-0.8%	-0.8%
02-May	-1.0%	0.2%
09-May	-0.2%	-1.5%
16-May	5.5%	1.4%
23-May	1.8%	-0.4%
30-May	2.8%	3.4%
06-Jun	-2.1%	-0.8%
13-Jun	4.7%	0.7%

Portfolio on 13th June 2014

sector	Share	pf %
Beverages	mureb	0.85%
Construction & Material	luck	0.85%
Personal goods	gadt	1.71%
Electricity	kel	25.64%
Construction & Material	akzo	1.71%
General Industries	cppl	4.27%
Pharma & Biotech	iblhl	4.27%
Automobile & Parts	gtyr	4.27%
Oil & Gas	pso	4.27%
Personal goods	nml	4.27%
Personal goods	srvi	0.85%
Foods Producers	efoods	4.27%
Forestry	cepb	25.64%
Chemicals	efert	4.27%
Indus transportation	pnsc	4.27%
Household Goods	tgl	4.27%
technology Hardware	avn	4.27%

Sold 33.3% of gadt on 35% gains

Sold 45.45% kel on 20.39% gains

bought Services industries, reducing gadt. 

Murree Brewery Chart on 21th may 2014

Portfolio on 20th May 2014

Sector	Share	Pf %
Construction & Material	Luck	0.70%
Indus transportation	Pnsc	3.52%
Personal goods	Gadt	2.11%
General Industries	Cppl	3.52%
Forestry	Cepb	21.13%
Chemicals	Efert	3.52%
Oil & Gas	Pso	3.52%
Foods Producers	Efoods	3.52%
Automobile & Parts	Gtyr	3.52%
Household Goods	Tgl	3.52%
Technology Hardware	Avn	3.52%
Beverages	Mureb	0.70%
Pharma & Biotech	Iblhl	3.52%
Electricity	Kel	38.73%
Construction & Material	Akzo	1.41%
Personal goods	Nml	3.52%

Sold hum networks on 30.8% gains and 50% of mureb on 32.60% gains. 

Foreign Investment & Portfolio

The first day of the week has been very dull with low volumes. The Imran Khan saga finally finished in Islamabad where he protested against the rigging in the elections and further said that he would continue to protest in different cities until and unless his demands are met. this has created a kind of political bubble in the making where the incumbent government need to resolve the issue as soon as they can.

This week the monetary policy will be announced as well, other reason for low volumes. whether the government maintains the status quo or cuts the rate by 50 or 100 basis points will be closely watched by the investors and decide the future on how locals invest in the market but at the same time the foreigners individuals and institutions are buying at every opportunity. the figures below represents the net buying and selling of foreigners since the start of 2014 and movement of kse 100 during those months.

	fipi	kse 100
Jan-14	31,790,699	1288			rates in $
Feb-14	9,522,581	-1108
Mar-14	-5,202,632	1133
Apr-14	91,863,206	1244
till 12th may	22,245,528	577.25

Positive news from IMF and other organizations is helping KSE to attract foreign investment but the question would be whether they would continue to invest in Pakistan since a lot of other markets at the moment are offering quite good returns. 

sold pkgs on 10% gain, was going to buy treet corp in the range of 106-110 but it got upper capped, will wait for it to come down to buy in that range. bought IBL Healthcare, a subsidiary of searle company. Cherat packaging looks interesting and will buy it on wednesday by selling Hum network shares on last day of its spot. 

Treet Corporation & Berger Paints

I have been looking at some stock recently to add them into the portfolio. One of them is treet corporation. last year in August it made a high of 294.87 from 69 in june but then it ended up in the range of 100-130, right now the price is ranging between 100-110. looking at the results, the march results shows that the company has been doing good business. the sales growth of the company stands at 21.39% which is good. hoping to buy it the range of 100-106. It is also a good alternative to its more expensive competitor Gillette Pakistan.

Another company that i have been looking at is berger paints. Alot of investors are showing interest in this company because during summers, the paints business kicks off to a good start and people are optimistic about its june results, expect it to be good but looking at its chart and previous eps, the company has so far failed to bring that charm. The price is currently moving between 50-56 but recently broke the support of 50 and is at 49-50 range now. i am interested in buying this script between 40-45 because then a lot of people who have bought this stock between 50-60 will sideline and it would be good to buy at bottom.

I will selling pkgs on 10% gain and buy treet corporation while will wait for berger to come down to 40-45 range and buy that.

treet 3rd quarter statement
http://www.treetonline.com/Reports/2013-2014/Final_March_2014.pdf

berger 3rd quarter statement
http://berger.com.pk/aboutcompany/annualreport/2014/Berger-3Q-Mar-14.pdf

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